Further to my blog on Friday about the volitility of polling data, I see that according to an ICM poll in today's Sunday Telegraph, the Conservatives are now seven points up, having been three up on Thursday.
This means that in terms of the percentage points gap, there has been a shift of 20 points since 26th September. Which means, according to my very ropey statistical interpretation, that 12% of the population has changed its mind about who they're going to vote for in the last 20 days. During which nothing has really happened.
I just do not believe it; it's insane.
Looking Forward To A Labour Conference
16 years ago
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